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2024-12-13 04:40:42

Don't think that shipping is a bad word. If you don't speed up the shipment, you can't follow the trend without pulling the board. You have worked hard for one year, waiting for the event-driven east wind, and the fire will burn quickly. This is the enjoyment of "tulip bubble"It is necessary to adjust the interest rate of 10/30 bonds in the future. The yield of the anchor 10-year government bonds priced by capital assets fell below 2%. Remember the spread between stocks and bonds we talked about? This is a good phenomenon. Before, A shares were not anchored by this anchor, which also confirmed that the initial intention of this round of "bull market" was the re-pricing of RMB assets. This 2% is equivalent to a calm lake. Real estate, stocks and other assets are all canoes above, but you can see that the stock market is declining, so there is bound to be a factor accelerating. Is real estate?Speculation is purely about volatility, studying a lot of empty power and strictly stopping losses. I don't know if you have found a problem. Before, I met an uncle who was over 60 years old and made a stock. At first glance, the ticket for market value management was sloppy and had no fundamentals, but even if he bought it at the end of the day, he made a profit and ran down a little the next day. I made a quantitative back test and the ticket didn't exceed 0.3. Last year, this uncle did 142% of this operation on an annualized basis, and the light handling fee accounted for 4% of the funds, and the maximum withdrawal was 6%. This data means that almost all the public and private offerings in Shenzhen are suspended. Another question, have you found that in A-shares, as long as there is a scientific and technological direction guided by policies, don't worry about low-altitude quantum computing power or ai, and don't worry about how hard the callback is, it can't be stopped at all? It's very interesting, everyone. If everyone's capital is only tens of thousands, I think it is very necessary to study it. Suppose your principal is 100 thousand, 1% per day, 120w a year, and hundreds of millions in three years.


It's amazing. Remember the picture we drew in the post last week? I didn't wipe it here, so I'll show it to you. Last week, we talked about stepping back to confirm the trend intensity, and touched the horizontal center near 3375 to get a grade 4b. In fact, from our point of view, Thursday was already a short-selling structure with long-term exhaustion. As a result, a positive line was directly repaired, and if it was wrong, it was beaten to attention. You said that the national team didn't know the technology, but he knew the long-short power too well. Let's take a look at the current market in combination with the macro.On Friday afternoon, I don't know if everyone went in to rush to play positions. In fact, for institutions, the positive line on Friday is actually not linked. Why do you say that?It is necessary to adjust the interest rate of 10/30 bonds in the future. The yield of the anchor 10-year government bonds priced by capital assets fell below 2%. Remember the spread between stocks and bonds we talked about? This is a good phenomenon. Before, A shares were not anchored by this anchor, which also confirmed that the initial intention of this round of "bull market" was the re-pricing of RMB assets. This 2% is equivalent to a calm lake. Real estate, stocks and other assets are all canoes above, but you can see that the stock market is declining, so there is bound to be a factor accelerating. Is real estate?


As you can see, as long as the weight is not hard to pull, the index is a range shock, but the theme is crazy, full of money-making effect and money-losing effect. Slow cattle are a lot of tenbiger stocks, but the Shanghai Stock Exchange may look back and the annual line will rise by about 10%. This is slow cattle.We used to tell you that we should look at the expectation of news stimulus together with exchange rate, national debt and bulk. From our point of view, the biggest problem in the A-share market lies in the mood. Compared with other markets, professional investors will be relatively calm. Let's take a look at Friday's composition about the biggest interest rate cut in ten years, right? Let's look at the exchange rate, national debt and commodities, which are definitely devalued. When the A-share market moves, it is accelerating the appreciation range. Look at 30 bonds and 10 bonds. Theoretically, the interest rate is reduced, and the interest rate is also reversed. Let's look at commodities. The sharp differences fell below 0.5 of Fibonacci's retracement after the morning closing, and even hit a new low at night. Several representative threads and so on can almost be said to have gone down after a while, that is, the attitude of big money is an emotion. On the other hand, A shares resisted all day, so you said that the national team did not intervene?Let's talk about the macro, the first is economic transformation, the second is the speed of our debt conversion and an obvious progress, and the other is the increase of gold holdings and our long-term debt and confidence in economic recovery.

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